The upcoming UEFA Champions League clash between Benfica and Feyenoord promises to be a thrilling encounter on October 23, 2024, at 22:00 CEST. Both teams enter the match with solid recent performances, but Benfica seem to have an edge, especially after an impressive turnaround under new coach Bruno Lage.
This article provides an in-depth analysis of the teams’ recent games, form, head-to-head statistics, and expert predictions, along with insights into the latest Benfica vs Feyenoord odds.
For more expert football predictions, check out Tips.gg, where you can find detailed betting strategies for upcoming matches.
Recent performance review
Benfica
Benfica has experienced a complete transformation since Bruno Lage took over from Roger Schmidt. With six consecutive wins, they have scored 20 goals and conceded just three. They also clocked up a commanding 5-0 win against Feyenoord in a pre-season friendly at the same venue, which could be a psychological advantage. In their last match, Benfica comfortably defeated Pevidem SC 2-0 in the Portuguese Cup, highlighting their dominance against lower-ranked opponents despite a heavily rotated side. A 4-0 win over Atletico Madrid (ranked 17th globally) was particularly notable, showcasing their attacking strength against tougher opposition.
Feyenoord
Feyenoord has also been performing well, boasting an 80% win rate over their last five matches. Their most recent 5-1 victory over Go Ahead Eagles was impressive, but they’ve faced inconsistency in some fixtures, such as a 1-1 draw with NEC Nijmegen (ranked 251st). Despite these fluctuations, Feyenoord remains competitive, although they’ve struggled against higher-ranked teams like Girona (ranked 18th) and FC Twente (ranked 72nd), narrowly winning 3-2 and 2-1, respectively.
League positions and standings
Benfica currently sits 6th in the UEFA Champions League League Phase, with a perfect record of two wins, six goals scored, and only one conceded. They are in excellent form, with their defence standing out, having conceded just one goal across both matches. Feyenoord, on the other hand, occupies 25th place, with one win and one loss, and a goal difference of -3. Benfica’s higher standing and defensive solidity suggest they are better positioned to secure a win.
Head-to-head analysis
Benfica and Feyenoord last met in July 2024 during a pre-season friendly, where Benfica delivered a crushing 5-0 victory. While friendlies are not always the best indicators of future competitive matches, this result hints at Benfica’s upper hand. With the same venue and relatively unchanged lineups, Benfica’s mental edge from this victory could play a significant role in this match.
Expert Predictions and Betting Insights
Analysing predictions from top football experts, it’s clear that Benfica is the favourite, with an estimated 61% chance of winning, compared to Feyenoord’s 22%. Experts like SoccerVista and Prima Tips consistently back Benfica, citing their recent winning streak and improved form. Betting odds from popular bookmakers reflect this favouritism, with Benfica’s odds hovering around 1.54 to 1.60, while Feyenoord’s odds are significantly longer, between 5.00 and 6.30, depending on the platform.
A comprehensive look at expert sources, including Dr Football and Miguel Randall, further highlights confidence in a Benfica victory. These experts boast some of the highest win rates in recent betting history, with Randall, for example, achieving a 61% win rate across his last 20 bets.
Key Betting Odds Summary
|
Bookmaker |
Benfica Win |
Draw |
Feyenoord Win |
|
888starz |
1.54 |
4.81 |
6.19 |
|
Bet365 |
1.60 |
4.10 |
5.25 |
|
Pinnacle |
1.61 |
4.23 |
5.07 |
|
Betway |
1.57 |
4.20 |
5.00 |
Conclusion and Final Thoughts
Based on recent form, head-to-head results, and expert predictions, Benfica is expected to win this encounter against Feyenoord. Their solid defensive performance, combined with a rejuvenated attack under Bruno Lage, puts them in a favorable position. Feyenoord will need to be at their absolute best to challenge Benfica, but considering the form and consistency of both teams, a home win for Benfica seems the most likely outcome.
